A reader makes some predictions in regards to the launch of GTA 6 and bases them on the success of Red Dead Redemption 2, not GTA 5.
There have been a lot of GTA 6 rumors this week but none of them have really said anything new or surprising and I would say we still don’t know anything major about the game other than the setting and there are two main characters a man and a woman. There’s little point in speculating about the gameplay, because Rockstar has so much money and time that they can do pretty much anything they want.
However, I believe there’s one thing that makes things a little more predictable: Red Dead Redemption 2. It’s never going to be as big as Grand Theft Auto, but I think people underestimate how huge it is, bigger than almost anything else that is not a Nintendo game, including an individual FIFA or Call Of Duty game. It fared much better than expected and proved to Rockstar that they can make great success out of less obviously popular material if they follow certain rules.
I don’t believe Rockstar is in it just for the money I think they want to push the boundaries and while I’m sure there are people at Take-Two who just want to do GTA 5 with better graphics I believe Rockstar is will try to do more, and I think they’ll use Red Dead Redemption 2 as proof that they can get it to work.
GTA 5 has been around for so long that I think a lot of people have forgotten it even has a story mode. It’s Red Dead Redemption 2 that’s known for its plot and characters and while I’d say it fares a lot better than GTA 5, it’s the same basic formula underneath. I think Rockstar wants to earn back the reputation GTA once had and make it a point to show they can tell a great story set in the modern day.
It’s easy to forget, but Red Dead Redemption 2 didn’t launch with Red Dead Online, it had a beta, but the official launch didn’t officially come until over six months later. I think that’s mostly because they wanted the main game for Christmas, but I also think they wanted the story to be the focus because they didn’t want everyone to just go to the online game and never play the single player.
GTA 6 will be the same I think and Rockstar will use the evidence from Red Dead Redemption 2 to convince their bosses it will work plus the fact that GTA Online is still running and there’s really no need to add anything new to start. I don’t know if they’ll eventually run a GTA Online 1 and 2 in parallel, but I suspect they’ll do that first before shutting down the first one. I don’t know exactly how long that will take, but I would estimate at least a year or two.
As for the 2024 forecast, that’s a little easier. Rockstar announced the game last year when it really didn’t have to. They didn’t show anything, Take-Two didn’t need the publicity, and there’s no reason to believe they announced it for any other reason other than it’s almost done. After all, they said they were making good progress.
I don’t think there’s anything to suggest it’s coming out this year because we would have heard something by now, but I predict it’s coming out next year. Unless there’s a massive internal delay, there’s really no point in announcing a game that everyone already knows exists in 2022, saying nothing about it, and then not releasing it until 2025.
So there you go, those are my predictions. With any luck, it won’t be long before we know if they’re right or not. Especially since a 2024 release could mean a 2023 reveal. Here’s the hope…
By reader Redrum
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